Hillary Rodham Clinton is the clear favorite in early polls for the 2008 Democratic presidential nomination. So, what does that mean? Not a lot, if history is any guide. Republican hopeful Rudy Giuliani, however, is sitting pretty. For at least three decades, Republicans have been far better than Democrats in early polls at getting behind the candidates who end up winning the party's presidential nomination. Republicans have picked the early front-runner in seven of the past 10 elections, according to Gallup polling. In the other three elections, Republican incumbents
cruised to re-election. Democrats nominated a former vice president, Walter Mondale, in 1984, and a sitting vice president, Al Gore, in 2000. For those elections, the early polls were more predictable at picking the front-runner. Why has the Republican Party been better at predicting winners? "There is this sense among Republicans — a belief that it's a certain person's time to run for president," said Thomas Mann, a political analyst at the Brookings Institution. But the Republican track record is probably due more to chance and the Republicans' success at winning the White House since 1968, he said.
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Hillary Rodham Clinton is the clear favorite in early polls for the 2008 Democratic presidential nomination. So, what does that mean? Not a lot, if history is any guide. Republican hopeful Rudy Giuliani, however, is sitting pretty. For at least three decades, Republicans have been far better than Democrats in early polls at getting behind the candidates who end up winning the party's presidential nomination. Republicans have picked the early front-runner in seven of the past 10 elections, according to Gallup polling. In the other three elections, Republican incumbents 
cruised to re-election. Democrats nominated a former vice president, Walter Mondale, in 1984, and a sitting vice president, Al Gore, in 2000. For those elections, the early polls were more predictable at picking the front-runner. Why has the Republican Party been better at predicting winners? "There is this sense among Republicans — a belief that it's a certain person's time to run for president," said Thomas Mann, a political analyst at the Brookings Institution. But the Republican track record is probably due more to chance and the Republicans' success at winning the White House since 1968, he said. (Read full article)
1 comment:
too bad for BUSH... he is not gonna get it anyway.. Lets see, first time in US life, eh?? i mean Bitch rolling for President.. hahahaa
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